Volgens de Europese Transport Market Monitor van CapGemini en Transporeon zijn de transporttarieven gedaald in het derde kwartaal van 2011, ondanks de hogere brandstofprijzen. De Europese prijsindex is gedaald met 2,6% ten opzicht van het tweede kwartaal van 2010.
This is the ninth edition of the Transport Market Monitor. It outlines developments in European road transport rates and contains the latest figures including the third quarter of 2011.
Conclusions
The European transport market faces economic uncertainty.
The price index decreased by 2.6% in Q3 2011 (index 101.2), compared to the price index in Q2 2011 (index 103.9).
Compared to the index level of the previous year, Q3 2010 (index 101.7), the price index decreased by 0.4%. This is remarkable, as the price index of the previous three quarters has always been higher than the indices of their prior year. The diesel index decreased by 0.7% in Q3 2011, compared to Q2 2011. This decrease is lower than that of the overall transport price.
Another factor with a high impact on transport prices is the capacity index, which increased by 14.9% in Q3 2011 (index 76.5), compared to Q2 2011 (index 66.6).
The price decrease in Q3 is remarkable when compared to developments in previous years. It is caused by decreasing fuel costs and economic uncertainty in Europe because of the ongoing debt crisis.
The development of the price and capacity index over the next two quarters is likely to be influenced by how the current debt crisis in Europe develops and the economic situation in the USA.
By having a retrospective view to May 2008, the start of the previous financial crisis, the TMM monitored a decrease in the price index and an increase in the capacity index in Q4 2008. It’s difficult to predict what the outcome of this will be therefore they will closely monitor the developments within the financial market over the next few months.
Both market dynamics and the expected cost increase of transportation emphasize the need to monitor transport price developments very closely, to mitigate the risk of any unexpected negative impact on company results.
These are the conclusions of the Transport Market Monitor by TRANSPOREON and Capgemini Consulting, a quarterly publication, which aims to track transport market dynamics.
Bron:
http://www.transportmarketmonitor.com/files/7923OMSW/111114_TMM_9_EN.pdf
Tags: transport, transportmarkt
Beste,
Op basis van de price benchmark studies welke LHC al jaren uitvoert op individueel verladers niveau, erkennen wij ook een dalende trend. Echter is het wel degelijk afhankelijk / verschillend per route, zo zijn er pan-Europeese routes waar de prijzen vele malen harder dalen en er zijn ook nog steeds routes waar de prijzen stijgen. Ook merken wij grote verschillen op tussen verschillende verladersgroepen en industrieën.
Het is dus gevaarlijk om op een ‘overall’ gemiddelde percentage conclusies te trekken / budget op te baseren voor een individuele verlader. Bij iedere verlader zal het effect van zendingskarakteristieken een andere impact laten zien.
mvg
Marc Huijgen
LHC Consulting BV